Months of political instability loom as French government nears collapseмесяц назад
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Short of another surprise, France will once more be without a government on Wednesday.

That is when Michel Barnier, appointed by President Macron after July’s inconclusive parliamentary election, faces a no-confidence motion over the budget - a vote he will almost certainly lose.

As the left-wing MP Alexis Corbière put it in the National Assembly this afternoon: “That’s it for Barnier. He’s out of here.”

The arithmetic is merciless for the former Brexit negotiator, who now stands to end his career as the shortest-lived prime minister in France’s Fifth Republic.

From the start he has been leading an anomaly: a minority government whose very survival depended on the indulgence of its enemies.

In the National Assembly, Barnier could count on his own conservative group and the Macronites. But this centrist bloc has been easily outnumbered by a left-wing coalition on one side, and on the other the populist right of Marine Le Pen.

And when those two forces combine - as they will in Wednesday’s censure motion - then the numbers are too much, and Barnier must fall.

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